Week 3 Best Bets: Back Mac Jones to Beat the Saints
If you look outside, you are starting to see the signals that seasons are changing. Leaves are starting to fall on the ground. The weather forecasts are finally dropping below my average golf round (depending on the week). And as of Wednesday, September 22nd, we have officially moved into the Fall Season.
So I figured with all the changes going on outside, it might be time for a change in betting seasons. Let’s hope that with the shift in the season from Summer to Fall, hot to cold, that betting seasons follow an opposite trend, and we can turn this cold streak into a hot streak and help you all win money!
Week 2 Picks
Panthers (+4, -110) against the New Orleans Saints – (Panthers win 26-7)
Let’s start with the positive pick. Carolina routed the New Orleans Saints. Jameis Winston looked, well, like Jameis Winston. He did not look like a guy who threw five touchdowns against the Green Bay Packers and the Carolina Panthers, and Matt Rhule, move to 2-0 on the early season.
Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5, -110) against the San Francisco 49ers – (49ers win 17-11)
Well, I bought fully into the Eagles after their dominating performance against the Falcons in Week 1. Are the Falcons really just that bad? The 49ers limited the Eagles’ offense and won an ugly game that saw a 91-yard touchdown for the Eagles get overturned because Jalen Reagor stepped out of bounds.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, -110) against the Las Vegas Raiders – (Raiders win 26-17)
Are Jon Gruden’s Raiders really good? Is Big Ben just not good anymore? There’s only one QB in the NFL that has thrown for over 800 yards this season so far, Derek Carr. The Raiders stymied the Steelers’ offense and won a game in Pittsburgh, which is not easy to do.
Lock of the Week – Dallas Cowboys (Over 55, -110) against the Los Angeles Chargers – (Cowboys win 20-17)
Well, I hope no one ever tries to rob my house, because it seems like my locks are broken. 0-2 to start the NFL season, and neither has been particularly close. After the Packers lost 38-3 to the Saints, I had to switch it up. I thought, two great offenses, Cowboys defense isn’t particularly that good, how could they not hit 55 points? Well, the Chargers did have two touchdowns taken away due to penalties and with that, we didn’t get the usual Cowboys up-tempo offense to try and score because they are behind. This Over was dead when only 8 points were scored in the 2nd quarter.
Overall Record (2-6-0)
Lock of the Week (0-2-0)
Week 3 Card
As always with an NFL Season, Week 3 brings some questions to the table. The biggest takeaway from Week 2 is injuries to quarterbacks. Houston is 2-0 against the spread, but can they continue that as Davis Mills takes over for Tyrod Taylor, who went on IR yesterday.
Can Carson Wentz play with two sprained ankles, or is it Jacob Eason time in Indy?
Bears fans rejoice! Is it Justin Fields’s turn to show what he can do? YEP!
How badly is Tua hurt? Can he play the pain, or will the Dolphins be required to play Jacoby Brissett?
Will Derek Carr play for Oakland? Or are we going to see Nathan Peterman throw some more interceptions?
And on top of these questions, we get to see Tom Brady’s first game in Los Angeles, the Packers play the 49ers, and the Cowboys/Eagles MNF? Bring on Sunday!
Let’s hope this week, things get turned around and we end up on the positive side for once! (All lines are current on Draftkings Sportsbook as of Wednesday afternoon)
Tennessee TItans (-5, – 110) vs the Indianapolis Colts
Most weeks, I’ll look to fade the public. Meaning, if a majority of the picks are on a certain team, I will look hard at the team without the bets. People always say, “Vegas always wins.” But, in this case, I am looking for a breakout from the Titans against a Colts team without Carson Wentz. I truly feel this is the week Ryan Tannehill breaks out of his slump and the Titans put it all together. Give me the Titans and the points.
Los Angeles Rams (+1.5, – 110) vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady and the Buccaneers have shown no signs of slowing down, but those games were against the Dallas Cowboys and the Atlanta Falcons. Neither of those defenses can hold a candle to the Los Angeles Rams defense. As the saying goes, you don’t make money betting against Tom Brady, but until I see Tom Brady against a solid defense, I’m going with the Los Angeles Rams.
Minnesota Vikings (+1.5, -110) against the Seattle Seahawks
Tim, are you ok? You’re taking the Minnesota Vikings and Kirk Cousins over the Seahawks? There’s just something about the Home Dogs this week. The Vikings have two heartbreaking losses that have crippled their fan base. Losing last week on a field goal had to bring back memories of Gary Anderson. But, Seattle is also coming off a deflating loss to the Tennessee Titans, so give me the Vikings in a close one.
Lock of the Week – New England Patriots (-2.5, -115) against the New Orleans Saints
Another week, another pick against the Saints. The Packers came in woefully unprepared for Week 1 and it showed. In Week 2, the Saints looked bad against a mediocre Carolina Panthers and the Patriots looked like the Patriots and handled the Jets. I predict the Patriots make Jameis look more like Zach Wilson than Drew Brees. Give me the Pats and the Points and hopefully, we get in the win column for the lock of the week!
Best of luck this week!
Tim
