Week 9 Best Bets: Back the Bengals to Bounce Back

November 4, 2021

After a much-needed heart-to-heart with myself last week, we had a very productive week. A nice 3-1 record, that was a Lions’ abomination from being a perfect week. But, the only true measure of a winning streak is can we do it two weeks in a row? The NFL has proved to be very unpredictable week to week.

Raise your hand if you had Mike White, and the New York Jets, beating the red hot Cincinnati Bengals?

How about Cooper Rush filling in for Dak Prescott and beating the Vikings? 

Oh, and the very short-handed Green Bay Packers going into Glendale and beating the previously undefeated Arizona Cardinals? 

That’s what makes the NFL the best. Just when you think a team is unbeatable, they find an opponent to humble them. Just when fans write a team’s season off, they somehow find a way to win (Unless you’re the Jacksonville Jaguars).

Here’s to another great week of NFL Football!

Week 8 Recap

Tennessee Titans (+1.5, -110) at the Indianapolis Colts, Titans win 34-31 

The Titans are a good football team. There’s no doubt about that anymore. The Colts were red hot and started this game out quickly. Two Michael Pittman touchdowns could not hold the Titans down as AJ Brown flexed his muscles and led the Titans to an OT win. But, can the Titans continue to win without the King? 

LA Rams (-14, -115) at the Houston Texans, Rams hold on to cover 38-22

This is one example where making the bets early in the week pays off. Sometimes when I place my bets on Thursday, the lines change not in my favor (i.e. see the Titans game. The Titans closed as three-point underdogs). But, since we placed this bet before the news that Davis MIlls would start, the Rams were only a 14-point favorite. The Rams closed at 17.5 point favorites and only won by 16. Therefore, lots of people were very upset the Rams allowed the Texans to recover an onside kick and score to end the game. 

Detroit Lions (+3.5, -115) vs the Philadelphia Eagles, Eagles kill the Lions 44-6

Welp, not only did this pick stink, the Eagles decided to run the ball with Boston Scott and Jordan Matthews. Jalen Hurts had very little impact on this game and sunk my fantasy team in the process. A real double whammy. I don’t think the Eagles are this good, and I don’t think the Lions are this bad. 

Lock of the Week 

Buffalo Bills (-13.5, -110) vs the Miami Dolphins, Bills win 26-11. 

The Buffalo Bills did everything they could to not cover this game, and Tua said No! Thanks to a late Dolphins interception, the Bills scored a late touchdown and ended up covering in what ended up being a sweat. Nevertheless, Tim wins a lock of the week! 

Weekly Record: 3-1-0

Overall Record: 15-17-0

Lock of the week: 3-5-0

Week 9 Card

I am not going to lie. This week is TOUGH. There are so many unknowns. Is Kyler Murray going to play? What is Sam Darnold’s status? Is Tyrod Taylor going to play for the Texans? We are going to do our best to navigate these unknowns and win some money this week. 

Atlanta Falcons (+6, -110) at the New Orleans Saints

I have often found that you do not win money betting the Atlanta Falcons. But, the Saints are coming off an emotional win against the Super Bowl champs Tampa Bay Bucs and have lost their starting QB, Jameis Winston. Will Taysom Hill start or will the Saints stick with Trevor Siemian? Either way, I think the Falcons keep this close and stay within the number. 

San Francisco 49ers (+1.5, -110) vs the Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals finally showed a kink in the armor last week as a very short-handed Green Bay team came to town and beat them. Now, Kyler Murray has a badly sprained ankle that may or may not hold up against a very good 49ers pass rush. And, there’s still a possibility Murray does not play, and then it’s Colt McCoy time in Arizona. I feel good about the 49ers in a situation against a banged-up Murray or Colt McCoy. 

Los Angeles Chargers (-2, -110) at the Philadelphia Eagles

This just feels like a must-win for the Chargers. A team with championship hopes is now hitting their mid-season rut. I feel this number is too low and an overreaction to the Eagles beating a very bad Lions team. The Chargers need a win and will look to Justin Herbert to stop their skid. 

Lock of the Week 

Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, -110) vs the Cleveland Browns

The Browns are broken. Baker Mayfield is wearing a sling that doesn’t allow his left arm to move. OBJ is “currently not a member of the team”, and they just lost to Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Meanwhile, the Bengals got caught reading their own press clippings and lost a lot of people their survivor picks. I am looking for a Bengals rebound and a win against their in-state rivals.

Let’s keep crawling towards 0.500 and have another positive week! 

Best of luck! 

Tim