Week 6 Best Bets: Texans Wrangle the Colts

October 14, 2021

This week marks the 1/3rd point of the new NFL 18 week schedule, and boy what a season we have had already. Tom Brady playing in Foxborough, against the Patriots. Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills asserting themselves and dominating the Kansas City Chiefs. And, the Dallas Cowboys might be good? 

Week 5 has some really outstanding games and brought on some interesting storylines. And it also brought some good luck to me. A nice 3-1 week helps us get back to 0.500 overall, and we FINALLY HIT A LOCK OF THE WEEK! Momentum is moving in the right direction and we will look to keep it rolling this week! 

Week 5 Recap

Minnesota Vikings (-8.5) over the Detroit Lions, Vikings win 19-17.

You know the saying, “good teams win, but great teams cover”. The Vikings looked to win this game handily, but those pesky Lions kept nibbling at their knees and almost came away with the upset victory. Dan Campbell’s Lions will be getting a victory here soon! 

Falcons (-3) over the New York Jets, Falcons win 27-20.

We traveled across the Pond for this game, and it was finally Kyle Pitts time. The Falcons rookie tight end had his breakout game and helped lead the Falcons to their second victory. Meanwhile, the Falcons defense held the Jets to just 230 yards of total offense. 

Los Angeles Chargers (-2) over the Cleveland Browns, Chargers win 47-42

Imagine taking the under in this game? What a fun game this was. The Browns seemed to control the game from the start, but Austin Ekeler decided to put the Chargers on his back. Well, and the Browns decided to help him score the touchdown that lead to the cover. Chargers move to 4-1 and look to control their own destiny.  

Lock of the Week

Saints (-2) over the WFT, Saints win 33-22. 

Well, well, well. Looks like Tim finally fixed the lock. The Saints led Tim to his first lock of the week victory in a game that was never really in doubt. Jameis Winston threw for four touchdowns, including a Hail Mary at the end of the Half, to help lead the Saints to victory. Hopefully, the lock is fixed from here on out! 

Weekly Record: 3-1-0

Overall Record: 10-10-0

Week 6 Card

(All lines are currently available as of Thursday morning on Draftkings Sportsbook)

As noted above, Week 5 brought up some interesting storylines moving forward: 

How will Seattle fare without Russell Wilson? Can Geno Smith lead them to victory? 

Are running backs really replaceable? We will find out as Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Saquaon Barkley both went down with gruesome-looking injuries. 

Can the Arizona Cardinals stay undefeated, or will Mercury Morris break out the Champagne early this year? 

And we get Packers vs Bears with Rodgers vs Fields.

There really isn’t anything better than the NFL and there will be plenty of stories moving forward each week. Can’t wait! 

Detroit Lions (+3.5, -110) vs the Cincinnati Bengals

As I mentioned before, the Lions are a pesky team that does not quit. Dan Campbell’s attitude is evident in this team and I would not be surprised if they get their first win this week. The Bengals are coming off a deflating loss and have been playing good football, but this just feels like the Lions’ time. 

Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, -115) vs the Los Angeles Chargers

I love the Chargers this year. I am not a huge fan of the Ravens in most years. But, the Ravens have shown that they just know how to win. Lamar Jackson put on a show and I would expect another shoot-out in this game, with the Ravens coming out on top and covering. Might sprinkle some money on the over too. 

New England Patriots (+3.5, -115) vs the Dallas Cowboys

If there’s one thing that is true about the NFL season, teams are never as good as they look, or as bad as they look. The Patriots almost lost to the Texans last week, while the Cowboys were dominant against the New York Giants. This will be a put-up or shut-up game for the Cowboys, while the Patriots are looking to keep pace in a crowded AFC. I look for Mac Jones to take a step forward and keep this game close. 

Lock of the Week

Houston Texans (+10, -110) at the Indianapolis Colts

Tim, you’re risking your winning streak on the Texans? Yes, I am! The Texans looked actually competent against the Patriots last week, while the Colts had a deflating loss against the Ravens in overtime. I look for the Texans to keep in close in Indy and come away with a cover. 

Best of luck and let’s have a Sunday! 

Tim