Well, what can you say? Week 1 in the NFL is in the books, and let’s state the obvious, the underdogs ruled the week. In Week 1, underdogs were 12-4 against the spread and seven of them won outright. As Chris Berman always says, “That’s why they play the game, WHOOP!”
Quick Review of Last Week’s Picks
Jaguars (-3, -120) against the Houston Texans – (Texans win 37-21) – Could not have been more wrong on this one. I did state that there was going to be a historically bad team in this game, I may have just picked the wrong side. Jacksonville’s receivers couldn’t catch a cold and the Jags just looked out of sorts. Hey Urban, USC is open…just saying?
Seahawks (-2.5, -115) against the Indianapolis Colts – (Seahawks win 28-16) – Felt the lack of training camp could hurt the Colts here, and I believe it did. Carson Wentz’s stats weren’t terrible, but when half of your completions go-to running backs, it is going to hamper your ability to score. Colts need Pittman, Jr. to take that next step if they want to contend in the AFC South.
Washington Football Team (+1, -115) against the Los Angeles Chargers – (Chargers win 20-16) – Here’s a bet I felt really good about Sunday morning. The line had shifted dramatically towards the WFT (Closed at -2.5) and the WFT had a lead deep into the fourth quarter, but these aren’t your Philip Rivers Chargers. Justin Herbert was able to score a late touchdown and get the first down when needed to help the Chargers hold on late.
Lock of the Week – Packers (-3.5, -115) over the Saints – (Saints Win 38-3) – Last team to get beat by the Saints Week 1 (and then later in the season 38-3), the Super Bowl Winning Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We’re on to Detroit.
Overall Record (1-3-0)
Lock of the Week (0-1-0)
Week 2 Card
There are numerous stories lines heading into Week 2 of the NFL Season. Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers look to be in a nice bounce-back spot against the Lions, but last week hurt and the Packers will need to earn my trust before I touch that number.
Can the Cincinnati Bengals start 2-0? They face a Chicago Bears team that didn’t inspire much confidence last week, as long as Andy Dalton is starting that is.
The game of the week has to be Kansas City vs Baltimore. Lamar Jackson, and the Ravens, looking to avoid going 0-2 to start their season, while Patrick Mahomes, and the Chiefs look to continue their unbeaten streak in September. (Yes, Mahomes is undefeated in his career in September, unreal)
Here are my picks for this week. These lines are current on the Draftkings Sportsbook as of Tuesday Morning at 9 AM and are definitely subject to change.
Panthers (+4, -110) against the New Orleans Saints
Tim, Tim, Tim. You bet against the Saints last week and they toasted you! What are you doing? Yes, it is true that the Saints absolutely demolished the Packers And the Panthers didn’t really inspire much confidence against the Jets, but I don’t think the Saints can man up against McCaffrey and this will open holes in the secondary to allow the Panthers receivers to get open. This line just seemed too low, and that makes me think Vegas has their eyes on a close game from the Panthers.
Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5, -110) against the San Francisco 49ers
Another line that at first glance makes you go, huh? The 49ers looked like a Super Bowl contending team last week, until the fourth quarter. Jimmy G and the gang had every survivor pool member holding their breath as they held on for the victory against the Detroit Lions. I really like what Jalen Hurts and the Eagles showed offensively last week (Yes, I know it was against the Falcons), but I believe the dual-threat of Hurts will cause issues for the Niners. Give me the Eagles and the points.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, -110) against the Las Vegas Raiders
Major Let Down Alert! The Raiders needed a heroic comeback with only seconds left on the clock to force the game into overtime last Monday. The Steelers showed their window of opportunity is not closed just quite yet with a very impressive victory over the Buffalo Bills. I look for Derek Carr to struggle in Pittsburgh and the Steelers to start the season 2-0, just like last year.
Lock of the Week – Dallas Cowboys (Over 55, -110) against the Los Angeles Chargers
Switching it up a little bit here. Instead of a spread pick, my lock of the week is an OVER pick. The Cowboys and Chargers have all the makings of a shoot-out. The Cowboys’ defense was not much improved in Week 1 (Yes, it was Tom Brady, but they did not show much of an improvement from 2020) and the Chargers’ offense has the capability of scoring points quickly. Additionally, Dallas scored 29 points against a Bucs defense that shut down Mahomes and the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. Both offenses can light up the scoreboard, and I look for a shoot-out in Los Angeles, take the over 55 points.
Best of luck!