Mock Draft SZN never ends! T-minus 1 week until we watch Roger Goodell read names off a list! This is the paragraph that explains how there are many minute details that are refined with each and every mock draft. This paragraph would also be a bold-faced lie. Now that the impact players from Free Agency have all essentially landed, there won’t be many impactful transactions that change drafting trends on any of the days. This means all current mocks should hold true. Projecting organizational decisions can be difficult, but so is everything else with mock drafts. The theory says this mock draft will be more accurate than anything before it. The execution says it’s a coin-flip as to which actually ones actually are the most accurate. Take a look at 2.0 and 3.0 and tell me if the trending is positive or negative.
Figuring out where the QBs three, four, and five get drafted is easy. Figuring out the order they get drafted is not. I’m flip-flopping on where Mac Jones lands yet again, and there is no guarantee it’s going to stay this way. There are plenty of rumors that the Patriots and other teams want to trade up for Justin Fields. Smokescreens are always smoke screening. I’m still convinced that the #4 pick will be a QB and I’m still not convinced that it will be a Falcons selection. The Raiders are now my first team taking a pass rusher and that shuffles up the back end pretty significantly. There will be at least one draft-day trade up and my nine first-round offensive linemen might not be enough. This is the OL’s draft.
Changed my mind on where Saleh and the Jets go to start this draft. You draft your new top QB and you trade your new top blindside protection right along with him. Terrace Marshall and the Dolphins feel like a perfect match made in heaven for both sides. Asante Samuel Jr.’s slide continues further. The Bears decide to invest in Kellen Mond as the future. Michael Carter still goes to the Chiefs. Tylan Wallace will be a popular sleeper for everyone as he also goes to the Chiefs.
Dylan Moses might end as a top-tier IDP rookie if he ends up in Jacksonville. Seth Williams in Philadelphia and Dyami Brown in Detroit will have fantasy managers salivating at the possibilities. The Jets take their running back in the third in this latest mock, settling for Chuba Hubbard. The Patriots shock most people by taking another mid-round quarterback with Jamie Newman. Damonte Coxie will be overdrafted as the next great thing in Green Bay.
Demetric Fenton is still landing with the Falcons and will still shoot up draft boards in Atlanta. Khalil Herbert still lands in Carolina and should still be universally owned as the next Mike Davis in Carolina. There really isn’t anything else of note fantasy-wise in this round. Maybe some of the safeties make an IDP impact, but if they do and they’re on your roster it’s because you made an early in-season add.
Speaking of rounds with little happing from a fantasy perspective, we don’t have a top half of the round RB/WR getting drafted. Tutu Atwell in a Chargers uniform will turn some heads, but not mine. The Titans add WR depth in Sage Surratt who has a chance to grow into a viable fantasy asset. Marlon Wiliams and Nico Collins? Unlikely to amount for much, but Collins tie to KC will see him a draftable asset in case my takes are wrong [they often are].
Trey Sermon to the Patriots and Rhamondre Stevenson to the Browns make them very nice long-term assets with taxi squads, especially because they come at a cheap price. Kylin Hill could be a sneaky value in Atlanta as he easily could find himself with volume if he impresses early. Smith-Marsette should be forgettable in Las Vegas, like all WRs there. As they say, what happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas [and not on your fantasy roster].
It’s the 7th round so there are not many fun options here. Maybe Zac Thomas becomes the next great thing in New Orleans. Maybe Kylen Granson usurps Donald Parham Jr. as the next great sleeper TE in LAC. It’s possible Amari Rogers syncs up with Tyrod Taylor and grows as a WR in Houston. In all likelihood, it’s not happening. Don’t draft expecting it to happen either.
As is the running theme with all of these mocks, the majority of these picks will be wrong. As is the standard reminder, the purpose of these Mock Drafts are to have fun and project what teams might do based on the action in front of them. These are designed to be a gauge of how teams might act in a given situation. They’re also designed to be fun while trying to be accurate. Hopefully, this one is enjoyable, and hopefully, you’re as excited as I am for the actual, real draft. Less than a week until Mock Draft SZN ends. I’ll be sad, but also thrilled.
Follow James on Twitter @whatmoney3000 for his deep league dynasty rankings, mock drafts and all his lukewarm takes.